Thursday, March 16, 2017

Survivor Bias in Climate Change Papers

Thursday, February 2, 2017

Supreme Court Porn

A great interview of Randy Barnett (a Constitutional Originalist and law professor at Georgetown) on the nomination of Neil Gorsuch.  As I said shortly after the election, there is reason to be optimistic.  But, perhaps I should have said, "Optimistic for the first time since 1980."

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Optimistic for the first time since 2008

Check out:

Specifically, scroll down the page to the bottom (blue section).  Click each of the links (and read the section) under the center heading MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN.

Sounds a lot like, "Mint the money and defend the borders."


Wednesday, June 29, 2016


I have been surprised  by the crazy claims in the media about the impact of Britain leaving the EU (even though I know better than to hope for thoughtful coverage).  Personally, I applaud the desire to be free of the central european government.  On the other hand, the existence of the EU has coincided with a long peace (by European standards) and I have to wonder how long that will last if the Empire based in Brussels comes apart.  

Here is an interesting take on the decision the UK made:

Tuesday, March 8, 2016

The Fruits of Repealing the Glass–Steagall Act

This is not surprising.  But, I am sad to say it probably isn't rare:

Weatherford has been in talks with JP Morgan Chase to re-negotiate its revolving credit facility -- the only thing keeping the company afloat. However, in a move that shocked the financial markets, JP Morgan led an equity offering that raised $565 million for Weatherford. Based on liquidation value Weatherford is insolvent. The question remains, why would JP Morgan risk its reputation by selling shares in an insolvent company?  JP Morgan is head of a banking syndicate that has the revolving credit facility.JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley also happen to be lead underwriters on the equity offering. The proceeds from the offering are expected to be used to repay the revolving credit facility.

Friday, August 28, 2015

David Stockman Gets It

Put your money in the Wall Street Casio, or else.  In other words, bet against the Fed by keeping your money out of the market and get negative return.  Bet with the Fed and eventually lose it all in a bust up that is bound to come.  What else is this but Tyranny?   Jefferson wrote, "That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness." 

Saturday, July 18, 2015

What percentage of recepients of this email can point out Greece on a map?

Organizing for Action

Thomas --

Earlier this week, President Obama spoke at the White House Conference on Aging -- a once-in-a-decade summit where leaders came together to talk about issues facing Americans as they plan for retirement, care for older loved ones, and work to improve our quality of life as we age.

The conference was a moment to reflect, and celebrate some of the programs we've already built -- Medicare and Medicaid turn 50 this month, and Social Security turns 80 next month -- but also a moment to look forward to the upcoming challenges we face.

Nearly 10,000 Americans turn 65 every day -- more than a quarter million each month. We all have a responsibility to build on the progress we've already made, to make sure that we safeguard retirement security for every one of these Americans.

Stand up and say you support a society that's prepared to face the challenges of a changing America.

Let's be clear -- this goes beyond Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.

Those programs are a vital part of American society, and we have a responsibility to make sure they're going strong for decades to come.

But there's more to do -- especially in an age when pensions are less common, and not everybody has access to a 401(k).

The President had several suggestions in his speech last Monday. Paid family leave to take care of aging relatives would help many folks provide crucial support. Opening up IRAs to folks that don't have employer-sponsored retirement plans would help millions save for retirement. Updating safety and quality standards for nursing homes, and closing conflict-of-interest loopholes in financial retirement advice would help ensure that we all get what we're planning for in retirement.

These aren't simple steps, but we can't walk away from this because it might be politically difficult -- we've got to fight for it, in the same spirit that helped pass Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.

So Thomas, let us know -- will you stand up for a society that includes a dignified retirement?



Abby Witt
Managing Director
Organizing for Action

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